About this strategy

This strategy is part of the Cold Picks portfolio. Every match is filtered through the same four foundations: qualified league selection, strong favourites at low odds, flat staking, and 10+ years of backtested validation.

How to read these numbers

  • Total Bets, the historical sample size this strategy has been tested against.
  • Avg Picks / Month, how often this strategy typically generates a qualifying pick.
  • Avg P&L / Month, the average monthly return in units, smoothed across the full sample.
  • Win / Loss %, the historical hit rate.
  • Avg Odds, the typical decimal odd at the time of betting.
  • Max Drawdown, the worst single losing streak in units, a key risk metric.
  • P&L, total cumulative profit in units.
  • Yield, the return on every unit staked. Anything above 5% is considered strong long-term.
Honest note

The numbers above reflect historical backtest data, last refreshed in May 2026. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Variance is real. Drawdowns happen. Discipline matters more than any single strategy.